Andy Murray v Juan Martin Del Potro

Betfair has this market with Murray as clear favourite, trading at 1.35 at the moment. That is most likely due to the issues with Del Potro's wrist in recent weeks. But I think people are forgetting Murray's problems.

The head to head between the two shows Murray with a 4-1 lead. Del Potro's only win coming on clay earlier this year. Their last encounter was a TB a piece in the first two sets before Murray took the final set 6-1. That result kind of sums Murray up to me. He is perfectly capable of beating anyone 6-1 when he has his head switched on. Unfortunately he is also capable of losing 6-1 to pretty much anybody too! I don't know why he suffers from this so much as he is affected more than any other top player it would seem.

Because of this laying Murray at the 1.35/1.36 mark is very tempting, with a view to trade, especially as he has had his own injury problems of late. Obviously winning in Valencia was a good result, but again he looked injured fatigued in nearly every match bar the final. However the following week in Paris he only played one set in two games at his top level. He struggled through against Blake before a spectacular collapse versus Stepanek.

Overall I think that Murray will win I just have to decide whether to start off with a lay or wait. I think waiting is obviously the safer option though.

As for the picture of Andy Murray's girlfriend, Kim Sears!!! Well I'm not quite sure if Andy is that big, but that is usually enough of a motivation for most blokes to do what they're told! So keep an eye out for this signal to Murray as he will no doubt win if on a promise!

Finally I get on at 1.06 with the Murray leading 5-2* in the 3rd set. I hope he can break now for GSM rather than put me through the turmoil of having to serve it out!

0-15 Oi!... 15-15... 15-30 DF Oi! Oi! .... 15-40 Oi! Oi! Oi!  oooooofff 30-40 Take It!!!! .... 2nd Serve ...
GSM!!!!

Murray Wins 6-3 3-6 6-2

Profit: £8.64

Draw for London ATP World Tour Finals

The draw for the group stages has been done Click here for link

It was never going to be easy for anyone I guess but this is what it looks like:

Group A: Federer, Murray, Del Potro, Verdasco
Group B: Nadal, Djokovic, Davydenko, Soderling
Alternate Tsonga

I feel that Federer and Murray should go through from Group A. Del Potro struggling with injury and Verdasco not on form. I expect Tsonga to get at least one match from this group. In Group B, I'm going to go against the ranking here as I actually think Davydenko is favourite for this group. Many will note Djokovic's rich vein of form but I don't see it like that I see him playing OK with a very fortunate draw, or his opponents not taking their chances. So I'm going to plump for Davyenko and Soderling.

Andy Murray v Radek Stepanek

Very interesting match up this one. The stats and the odds suggest a comfortable Murray victory as Stepanek has not managed to win a set in their last 3 meetings. However I just have my doubts about Murray at the moment. His body language doesn't look right and he struggled through against Blake last night. An on form Murray would have no problems and 1.27 would be a price to lump on. However, I fancy Stepanek to at least take a set this time and perhaps nick a victory. No bet from the off would be my strategy and see how the game is developing. If Murray goes very low early he has to be a lay and likewise if he gets broken early then he is probably a back. I hope Murray stops this "injury" grimacing he's been doing of late! It's very unsettling for us punters. Overall I think Murray 2-1 is the most likely outcome but we will see how it unfolds.

Good Luck and happy punting!

Right I'm matched with a lay at 1.07 now. Let's hope for Step to get back in this!
Score was 5-0* 1st set when I did that by the way. Murray taken the 1st set 6-1 odds still the same. Stepanek to serve first.
0*-1 Good hold by Stepanek now need 0-30 ish for a nice green book :)
There's the break!! Out at 1.2

£154. 59 on Both 

Correction £147.02 on Both (damn commission)


Stepanek takes the 2nd set 6-3


Stepanek Wins 1-6 6-3 6-4
Profit: £147.02


November is green again!

Andy Murray v Daniel Gimeno Traver

This is a match that will only have two possible outcomes!!!

Maybe that's not a new concept for a tennis matches but these are the two outcomes I feel there may be.

i) Murray is chomping at the bit to be playing tennis again and destroys DGT in two easy sets
ii) Murray feels that, despite numerous training sessions, his wrist isn't up to competitive action and retires.

However ii) isn't going to happen so I guess there's only one outcome then ;-)

Therefore as my selection has stood up to the rigours of my exact science, I have to lump on Murray despite the skinny price. 7% interest for an hours deposit is far better than you can get at the Post Office!

Lay Daniel Gimeno Traver	14	£2.81	£39.34 £36.53
Ref: 9353752248 Bet matched: 19:09 03-Nov-09

Hmmm now -36.62 AM +22.06 DGT We'd better get a retirement from Murray now! It's amazing how quickly you can go off a player if he's just faking it. To top it all my stream has died now too :(

Hmm 3*-1 to Murray the Mugger! I used to be such a fan but he is just an actor like the rest! What was the point in faking the old injury thing? I don't get it. And my bank certainly doesn't get it!!!!!!

4-1* :(
5*-1 Properly Properly Mugged. Murray you are not even close to being on my Christmas card list right now!!!!

Murray Wins 6-3 6-1
Loss (Again!!!): £36.62

Well I got spooked by the market as I'm sure many others did.. So glad I kept my deposits so minimal at the start of the month as I could have been on a right sticky wicket now if I had been using a decent sized bank.

I'll deposit another £10 as fun money tonight to try and work through these Jips I seem to have acquired! Hopefully we'll be in the right frame of mind tomorrow!!