Monday 23 October 2017

Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots

Here we are folks. The replay of probably the best Superbowl ever!!! Falcons looking for revenge on the road at Patriots.

I think that with the Pats having home field advantage they are rightly favourites at 1.71. Neither of these teams are playing at the levels of last year, so it could go either way. A bit of a blind punt picking an outright winner, but if I was forced to get off the fence... I'd have to go with my gut and back the Patriots.

One thing is for sure in my mind is that Pats can score points! Their defence is statistically the worst in the NFL this season I believe but that can be deceiving. I fancy both teams to score over 20 points so will have a look at some bets that match my thoughts.

Over 56.5 points is marginally odds on!!! currently at 1.98. Well I guess everyone thinks there will be lots of points. That does not seem like value to me as that is a lot of points to get my win.

New England Over 2.5 touchdowns at around 1.44 looks an interesting bet but there is no money in the market so I think I will struggle to get any on it, but will definitely have a dabble there for what I can get matched.

A scoreless 1st quarter would have had the Overs backers sweating! 2 minutes into the 2nd quarter and Pats get the first score Touchdown!! Extra point is good. Pats lead 7-0.

Falcons went for it on 4th and 7 from the Patriots 47 yard line with 2 minutes to go in the half as they trailed 10-0 and weren't successful. So over to Brady to work his 2 minute magic as the fog comes in. Boom Touchdown! And the extra point is good,17-0 lead into the half time. That leaves me needing Pats to get 1 more touchdown in the 2nd half.

After the Falcons miss their 2nd Field Goal of the night the PAtriots get to the Atlanta 2 yard line, but can't quite get over. Despite me obviously screaming at them to go for it they opt instead for the Field Goal and a 20-0 lead. I think I may need Falcons to get back in to this match to guarantee the third New England touchdown.

We're at the 2 minute warning in the 4th Quarter. Pats have 1st and 10 at the Falcons 17 yard line and a 23-7 lead. Going to run the clock down to end thegame :-( Go for the stats Pats!!! Boooo.

Glad it was a small market!

Loss: £10.86
Bank: 79.00 

Sunday 22 October 2017

Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool

This Sunday's big match up is Spurs v Liverpool from Wembley.

I think this one is most likely to end in a draw as both teams are relatively evenly matched. But a 1 goal margin either way wouldn't be unexpected. Both teams can score goals and with Liverpool remembering where the back of the net is in midweek I think this one should bring home an Over 1.5 Goals bet.

Checking the odds on the Over 1.5 Goals and it's 1.25. Thank you very much I'll have a slice of that action.

4 minutes into to the match and Harry Kane opens the scoring. 1-0. I think I'll green out as it's so early in the game.

12 minutes and Spurs double their lead!! 2-0

Over 1.5 Goals Wins

Profit: £12.41
Bank: £89.85

Tuesday 17 October 2017

UEFA Champions League Tuesday 17th October 2017

Eight Champions League Group matches to choose from tonight.

APOEL v Dortmund

Obviously Dortmund should win this one. But away from home and only 1.27... Move on for me I think.

Feyenoord v Shakhtar Donetsk

I don't know enough about either team to have a confident bet on this. It's the kind of game I usually only get involved in when there's nothing else on Hahaha!

Manchester City v Napoli

The first of the three English sides in action tonight. City have been scoring for fun recently and Napoli also usually have goals in them. So I had a look at the Overs markets. However over 1.5 is only available at 1.15 and when two free scoring teams come head to head it probably has 0-0 nailed on! I can't bring my self to back the 1.62 on a City win either.

Monaco v Besiktas

I fancy Monaco in this one but they've had some indifferent form the last few games. Looking at Over 1.5 Goals 1.22 seems just slightly low for me.

Maribor v Liverpool

I am a Liverpool fan so should probably look elsewhere! Even as a fan away from home in Europe, 1.19 is too low. The markets I am interested in here are on goals. Liverpool's leaky defence is well documented but they have to start banging them in at the other end sometime soon. With an attacking looking team tonight I'm going to have a crack at Over 2.5 at 1.47.

RB Leipzig v FC Porto

A lack of knowledge on this fixture makes me move on by

Real Madrid v Tottenham

The last of the three English sides playing tonight. I think Spurs may be able to get something from this fixture as Real have not been great this season. Backing Spurs at 7.6 hoping they score first and green out is something to consider. The goals markets are very low too so probably another bore draw!

Spartak Moscow v Sevilla

Apart from expecting a Sevilla win I've not really looked at this one.

So to summarise I am backing Spurs for the win and looking to green out if they get ahead. Also backing Over 2.5 goals in the Liverpool match.

Good luck whatever your bets (unless they re the opposite of mone!)

4 minutes in and Liverpool have gone 0-1 up through a Roberto Firmino goal.
13 minutes and Phillipe Coutinho doubles the lead 0-2 Liverpool.
19 minutes BOOOM!!! Salah makes it 0-3

Profit: £17.09
Bank: £65.35

29 minutes and Spurs have scored in Madrid!!! 0-1 Greening up as promised!

Profit: £12.09
Bank: £77.44

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