Friday 13 October 2017

Philadephia Eagles @ Carolina Panthers



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So Carolina are rightly slight favourites with the home advantage in this one. My problem when looking at a bet is that it really is a coin toss so I will avoid the money line. If there is value there, it has to be on backing the Eagles @ 2.36.

I looked at the total points markets as I've had success here in the past and regardless of who wins you just have to weigh up if they are free scoring. These markets seem to have changed since I was betting regularly in the past and are on some kind of slider every 0.5 point. This doesn't seem to be helping liquidity so the only viable bet is Under/Over 44pts. I do think that this game could go over 50 points but the stuttering scoring from the Panthers a few weeks ago makes me cautious to take the Over 44 at 2.06.

So where can I find a bet? As I said I fancy a high scoring game but just in case Panthers falter I still think that Philadelphia are good value to score Over 20.5 points. I would have taken this bet at around 1.83 to 1.85 so to see q,92 available makes this the bet for me tonight.

Here's hoping for a great game, it looks a quality match up.

Philadelphia Eagles Cheerleaders
10-10 at half time. Panthers to get the ball at the start of the 2nd half.

1 minute into the 2nd half and Eagles get the interception. They get the touchdown and Doug Pederson must be on the same bet as me, he's going for the 2 point conversion after a flag on the first attempt. 18-10 to the Eagles.

Panthers got a field goal from there drive followed by the all important field goal from Philadelphia in return. 21-13 Eagles. More importantly my Over 20.5 point bet wins.

5 seconds into the 4th quarter and it's another touchdown for the Eagles. The extra point is good for 28-16. Right now I'm wishing I had a treble on this match with the three bets I mentioned above. Would have returned over 8/1. May not come in but looking very likely.

Profit: £11.52
Bank: £24.66

Not a bad evening with 140% increase of my starting bank. Long may it continue.

Sebastian Fanselow v Michael Mmoh

It's 7-6 5-4* when I lump on Fanselow hoping for a break and GSM... Odds at 1.47

Sebastian Fanselow
Well that's not good. Mmoh held then broke for a 5-6* lead in the 2nd. That's the first break of the match. Let's hope they are like buses and two come along at once.

Well, well... 15-40... And after a ridiculously long rally it's a break!! Yessss. Tie break time. Fanselow to serve first.

0*-3 back to 3-3* ....

Fanselow edges in front still on serve 5-4* 5-5*

Double Fault #2 of the TB brings up Match Point 6*-5... 2nd serve... GSM

Profit: £4.20
Bank: £13.56



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