Thursday, 21 January 2010

Gabon v Zambia

I seem to be suffering from a very bad sleep pattern now! I fell asleep for about 30 mins during the Sprem Dellacqua match this morning and then went to bed a bit later. Unfortunately I have only managed about an hour.

So I have rooted around and found some Footy to bet on! African Cup of Nations final group matches.
oth matches are on at the same time and both have a team that needs a win and one that needs a draw.

I have chosen this match because the odds are better and Zambia need to win to progress. Gabon only need a draw but if Zambia go 1-0 up then Gabon will have to throw men forward and leave themselves exposed. Equally if it stays 0-0 for long Zambia will also have to go all out attack. Even if it gets to 1-1 Zambia will have to desperately try for the goal at the end. Thus I feel that the Over 2.5 goals market offers tremendous value @ 2.50.

I have reduced my stake to £1,000 for the footy and see where I get with it before the tennis starts again tonight or I fall asleep again.

Normally when I back goals they turn out to be borefests so this could be the perfect tonic to insomnia!

Good Luck if you're on and Happy Punting!!

Looks like I may have chosen the wrong match a goal in the 1st minute in the other!!

GOOOOOAAAALLLLL 0-1 Zambia take the lead in the 29th minute! Just as I hoped! Now Gabon have to attack and they have looked shaky at the back already! Make it 1-1 before half time please!

Half Time and it remains 0-1. Gabon will have to come out all guns blazing in the second half or they are out!! I could trade out for  just a £6 red now but I feel the goals will come. I'll get Bowie warmed up just in case!

The other match has had another goal right at the start of the half! 1-1 now!

60 minutes gone and still 0-1 However it's been end to end stuf this!! More goals have to come still plenty of time! 1-1 fairly soon woul be good though!


0-2 in the 62nd minute! Not sure if that is the goal I wanted though! Let's hope Gabon send their keeper forward :-) Could green out now for £460 ish but I think there's more goals here! May look to get out for zero if the odds come back down that far!!

Wow 2-2 in the other match now I see!!

15 minutes to go and Unders is back as favourite! And dropping fast C'mon the 3rd goal!! Dance Dance Dance! Gabon have to throw everything forward for the last 10 at the very least!

Wow evens to 1.70 in less than 3 mins!! And 1.50 in another 2 mins!! 80 mins gone!

It's Bowie Time!!!

Bowie does it again!!! GOOOOAAAALLLLL 1-2

Over 2.5 Wins
Profit: £1,438.50

Karolina Sprem v Casey Dellacqua

Dellacqua leads 7-6 4-4* hoping thta she might get a quick break here I lump on at 1.47. However only a small amount taken.

Green out at 0-30 for £53 on KS and £58 on CD.

Sprem holds to get 4*-5 Casey serving to stay in the set now! She Holds! £57 .14 on both now!

5*-5 Break Dellacqua for 5-6*

Limped on at 1.11 I hope she can serve this out!! 0-15 .. ALways the security of a TB if she does get broken here! .. 15-15 .. 30-15 c'mon! .. 30-30 Get a Match Point! .. 40-30 Take IT!!!!! ... Pfft Deuce poor shot long from Casey! .. BP! Poor shot into the net this time! .. Deuce .. MP #2! Take IT!!! .. DF!!! FFS Deuce .. BP #2 poor shot into the net .. Deuce .. No wait challenge .. Deuce it is! .. BP #3 .. Deuce .. LOL no challenges remaining at that looked good! .. FFS DF again!! Gives BP #4 ! And a bloomin BREAK!!

Tiebreak it is c'mon Casey MB please!!
1-0** need two holds then!
1-1* And another!
2**-1 Pffft MB!! Now we need it straight back please!
2*-2 Good girl and another?
3-2** Nope OK two holds then please!
3-3* And another please!
3**-4 Good stuff now for two MB please!
3*-5 Oh Challenge again! Ooof in!!
4*-4 Get this one then!
4-5**Yes8 MB!! Two holds for GSM then!!!
5-5* FFS MB Back! A least get to MP!!
5**-6 Sprem serving to stay in Match!! TAKE IT!!!!
2nd Serve!!! Pffft !!
6*-6 Have this one then!
Hurry up Sprem!!
2nd serve DOUBLE FAULT
6-7** ACE PLEASE!!!
GSM ???? YES!!!

Dellacqua Wins 7-6 7-6
Profit: £364.99

Stephane Robert v Albert Montanes

You can tell that there is not enough tennis on now as I am getting involved in matches at stages I would normally not get in at!!

Discipline is not my strong point!!

Robert leads 6-4 3*-2 when I get on at 1.33. However he is immediately broken for 3-3*.

Hopefully Robert can take this set or I may not see such low odds again!

3*-4 And to think I was just about to go to bed for a couple of hours and wait for the Sprem v Dellacqua match!!

4-4* A break now would be sweet please Stephane! 0-15 .. 15-15 .. 15-30 C'mon!! .. 30-30 not far off a winner .. 40-30 .. Holds! Let him off then.

4*-5 0-15 Uh Oh don't hand him the set!! 15-15 .. 15-30 poor shot into the net! .. 30-30 .. 40-30 .. Deuce .. GP #2 and flip flop? Must have been a mistake from someone there!! .. Holds

5-5* Now let's get at this service game then Robert. old to 15 was not what I wanted!

5*-6 Free game for Montanes now! Hold it together here Stephane! Montanes trading at 2.22 a set down when sp only 1.78!! Burn those fat fingers Steph!! Uh oh!!! 15-30 ..  30-30 .. FFS 30-40 .. Deuce .. BP #2 Lucky git Montanes !! ... Deuce great running .. Stay down Montanes!! ;-) .. GP Shot! .. TAKE IT! .. Pffft tired looking shot should have won it!! Deuce .. GP .. Holds!!

Tiebreak! Montanes to serve 1st MB please!
0**-1 Two holds needed!
1*-1 Another point like that please!
2 -1** MB please!
3-1* Yes and another?
4**-1 Get in now two holds please!
4*-2 Arrgh MB back! Hold this one at least!
4-3** FFS what a plonker! MB's needed then please!
5-3* Yes and another?
6**-3 LOL TAKE IT!!!
Yess Set Robert!

Bloomin heck odds quite high still!
Trying to get out at 1.16 but there's a bit of a queue may have to accept the 1.19 on offer! OOPs too late 0-15 Bugger!! 0-30 .. 15-30 Hold ffs!! 15-40 WTF?? .. 30-40 Fight!! .. Deuce .. GP .. Hmm 0-0 1.19 on offer GP for 1-0 and 1.24!??? Deuce (1.32) .. FFS BP #3 .. Deuce .. GP #2 This time? .. Holds and 1.22!

1-0* OK odds are forcing me to stay in so let's have a nice early break please! Holds !

1*-1 WTF is going on here? 1-1 2-0 up in sets and now 1.32??? Burn those fat fingers Stephane how dare they lay a player of your ability at these crazy prices!! Ah nuts 0-15 .. 0-30 .. 0-40 .. Break!! Brain Fart moment? The market knew more than I did obviously!

1-2* Need to get a break back quickly and then Monatanes spirit may be broken. 1.59 again !! Ridiculous it's 1 break very early in the 3rd set while he's 2 sets down! 0-15 .. c'mon .. 15-15 .. 30-15 .. 30-30 .. 40-30 .. Holds.

1*-3 Stay with him then with a good hold. FFS from 30-0 to 30-30 with two weak shots! 30-40 Don't give up this set already! Break!!

1-4* Robert looking very jaded here I'm switching @ 1.75 as Montanes may quickly level this match !! FFS typical Montanes takes his foot off the gas and we have 0-30 .. 15-30 .. I need Montanes to get back to 1.77 to get out of this now!! 30-30 .. 40-30 .. Holds

1*-5 This service game will be telling from Robert imo. He may rally here in which case he will have to serve 1st in the 4th but if he continues to struggle then I don't hold much hope for him! 30-40 .. Deuce .. GP .. Holds

2-5* That hold may not have been wise as he is struggling and should now have to come out and serve 1st next set! As long as Montanes serves this out that is! Hold to Love!

Set Montanes right Robert to serve first and hopefully Montanes will pile on the pressure here. Break coming I feel! (Well I hope anyway!)

Here we go!! 0-15 .. FLip Flop!!! 0-30 He is gone serve is so slow now!! .. 15-30 and yet Montanes still loses a point! ..  30-30 Jeez Albert keep it in play you muppet! .. 40-30 what a let off. Net , wide, wide from Montanes! .. Deuce c'mon get the BP! .. BP!! TAKE IT!!! Only 1.94 Montanes??? BREAK!!!

0-1* Now hold and we may well soon run away with this! From what I am seeing 1.68 is massive on Montanes right now!! Only one player on court and he ain't French! Hold to 15

0*-2 Big game this! Robert is out on his feet it would seem but a hold could rally him! Need a break! 15-0 wide return from a poor 2nd serve! .. 30-0 FFS Long on easy shot. .. 40-0 Wide when court was open!! 40-15 .. 40-30 he's dead out there take advantage!! Holds. What a wasted opportunity Albert!

1-2* Only a mug like Montanes could now lose this match against an poor journeyman who is absolutely knackered and can not get any power into his shots or serve! Please seal the deal Albert! FFS from 30-0 to 30-30 .. 40-30 .. Double Fault!! Deuce what a spanner!! Opponent on the ropes so throw some DF's in to help him?? ARe you trying to give him a second wind?? .. GP .. Yep those easy points have given Robert some belief and energy .. Deuce!! Such a head game this tennis!!  GP #3 .. Deuce .. Montanes not working hard enough now dropped his level to match rather than push on! .. GP #4 Now take it and pile the pressure on Robert's serve as he's starting to get some fight back! Holds!!

1*-3 Need a break here to stop any thoughts of a comeback firmly in their tracks! Otherwise I may have to dump this bet! 30-0 pecker def up for Robert now! 30-15 .. 40-15 .. 40-30 that's better make him run!! .. Deuce great return! .. GP a wasted opportunity sent well wide!! .. Holds

2-3* Need a strong hold here! Much better hold to love!

2*-4 Now pressure on please! 0-15 .. 15-15 .. 30-15 .. 40-15 ACE!! .. 40-30 .. Holds!! This set should really be over by now if Montanes had an ounce of killer instinct!

3-4* WTF trainer Montanes???? Don't you effin dare!!! What is he trying to do? Give Robert as many psychological boosters a s possible???  Holds to 30

3*-5 Now a break and serve first in the 5th might be nice! 0-15 .. 0-30 .. 15-30 .. 15-40 .. Break!

Set Montanes. 2-2. That break will hopefully set the tone for the 5th!! If Robert's head drops again and he remembers how tired he is then it could be 6-1!! Trainer for Monty again!! If it works like last time then crack on son!!

0-15 what a start!! 15-15 .. Market starting to drop here folk trying to get on Monty! 30-15 and it's 1.40 when it was 1.52 at 0-0!! Not that I'm complaining! 40-15(1.34) .. 40-30(1.37) .. Holds (1.35)

0*-1 Give us a Kit Kat!!!! I want a bumper pay day please!! I could green for £500 right now! 0-15 .. C'mon .. 15-15 .. 30-15 .. 40-15 ... 40-30 side to side and you win the point Albert! .. Deuce yes just like that! .. FFS up the middle you lose! GP #3 .. Holds.

1-1* Albert really should have done better there. Needs another quick strong hold and get the pressure right back on! Oops someone miss clicked took Monty out to 1.64 there!! FFS from 30-0 to 30-30 to not mess this up!! 40-30 .. Deuce!! .. Holy Shit BP!!! ..  BREAK WTF !!! Monty should be pissing this!!

2*-1 I have to stick with Montanes and take the consequences here. Robert is so poor that Monty should easily get that break back. He just need to focus!! Mind you that £500 even green I turned down is looking very appealing right now! Monty just needs to go side to side and he will win nearly every point! 30-40 TAKE IT!!!  BREAK!!!

2-2* Now that should be enough to break Robert's fight and wake Monty up sufficiently! 15-0 .. FFS DF 15-15 ... Sort it out Albert! .. 30-15 ACE LOL .. 30-30 FFS Monty .. GP TAKE IT!! .. Holds!

2*-3 Now for a break then!! Let's finish him right here right now!! Tempted to green again for £450 but I've come so far and I think I will green at the end of this game no matter the outcome! 0-15 .. 0-30 Let's be having it!!! .. 15-30 don't let him back in this game! .. 15-40 TAKE IT!!! .. 30-40 This time then?? Break!!!

2-4* That enough for me out at 1.12 for £1,029.12 on both.

Montanes wins 4-6 6-7 6-2 6-3 6-2
Profit: £1,029.12

Sabine Lisicki v Alberta Brianti

Brianti leads 2-6 6-4 5-3* Lumped on at 1.32

15-0 .. 15-15 .. 15-30 C'mon!! ..  30-30 Get the MP!!! ... 1.48??? WTF?? 40-30 Damn !! ... Fight Alberta! .. Deuce c'mon!! .. 2 points and 1.40???? .. GP :-( ... Deuce! This time Alberta? .. Nope GP #3 .. Holds :-(

5*-4 I now have to rely on the underdog to serve it out!! Not the nicest position to be in but oh well as they say on Miracle on 34th street.... "I believe" :-)

15-0 ...  30-0 C'mon my little beauty!! 40-0 TAKE THE FIRST!! n fact I'm getting out here!
All green at 1.04

GSM but happy I greened just in case!!

Brianti Wins 2-6 6-4 6-4
Profit: £377.48

Julie Coin v Francesca Schiavone

Schiavone leads 6-3 4*-3 when I try getting on at 1.06. However on £518 matched as Fran goes on to hold for 5-3*.

I would perhaps  like a hold here so I can get some better odds. In fact I'm greening out at 1.02 in hope of that very thing! £19.49 on both for now!

Oh well there's the hold but the odds haven't moved! In that case I'm going to use my green to lay!! LOL
C'mon the break!!
SB has stuck but I assume Schiavone Won!

Profit: £0.31

Marcos Baghdatis v David Ferrer

Ferrer leads 6-4 6-3 as we start the third set with Baggy to serve. I had a feeling the prices were the wrong way round at the start (such an aftertimer) but now 2 sets up I will gladly take the 1.19 on offer here.

I just hope Ferrer does it nice and easy and wins it this set!

Hmmm Baggy leading 2-1* and Ferrer has just gone from 40-0 to Deuce!! Faced a BP but held eventually!

3*-3 30-40!!! And Break!!

3-4* Now nice and easy finish please David!

0-30 Oh Ferrer what are you doing? 0-40 FFS!! 15-40 .. Break!! pfft

4*-4 Can he get it back then? Nope!

5-4* FFS BP Baggy!! Saved ! GP .. Holds! Phew!

6-5* Free game for Baggy! C'mon Ferrer let's get to the TB please.

Oh dear 0-30!! .. 15-30 .. 30-30 .. 30-40 FFS!! Deuce! C'mon David sort it out! .. GP .. Holds!

Tiebreak c'mon Ferrer end it here!
2-0* MB Lucky Baggy
3**-0 this is dire Ferrer!
4*-0 Has Ferrer left the court?
4-1** Finally he gets one back!
5-1* Awful into the net when had open court!
5**-2 Needs two MB's here then!
6*-2 At least one then?
6-3** Too little too late? 2 holds and put the pressure on!
6-4* And another please.
FFS SET Baggy!! Ferrer won 2 out of 6 service points in that TB!!

Ferrer to serve 1st in this set so I'm hoping his poor serving continues and thus I have switched at 1.50. I need Ferrer to hit 1.70 to get out for zero!

C'mon the break!!

BP and I'm out for even green.

He takes it anyway but just happy to have escaped!
£149.35 on both

Back in at 1.10 when Baggy 5*-1 up but with Deuce in the 5th set ... Match Point Take IT!!!

Baghdatis Wins 4-6 3-6 7-6 6-3 6-1
Profit: £277.85

Gisela Dulko v Ana Ivanovic

Ivanovic was 1.38 SP and even though she only won the 1st set in a tiebreak 1.19 is way too high at the start of the 2nd so I backed it.

Dulko to serve first and Ivanovic breaks so I have greened out but switched all my green to Dulko so my book is +900 GD 0 AI.

Ivanovic holds to love for a 2-0* lead!

Dulko needs to get a hold here or this could be over very quickly. She does hold.

1-2* Ivanovic to serve. Dulko need to get back here with a break. Although 1.14 on Ana is huge so I'm taking that for now! Even green £106 on both.

Dulko does break so maybe I was a bit hasty with the greening but the odds were wrong imho.

However Ivanovic is now 1.23 so I'm lumping back on her. Hope the break fest continues

Oh well Dulko held for 3-2* Still feel Ana is massively overpriced for this stage of the match. 1.31 now. I will certainly hold my bet here.

Need Ana to hold though! WOW 1.35 at 15-15 that's nearly SP!! OK we're over SP at 15-30!! LOL 1.50 at 15-40!!! Madness!! And back to deuce at 1.37!! Fingers gonna get burnt if she hold here!! GP an still 1.27???? Back to Deuce ... AH FFS BP #2 and 1.52!!! Break!! And now the odds drop to 1.50 LOL

4*-2 C'mon then Ana let's have a break back Dulko is nothing but a moonballer! A very nice looking moonballer but a moonballer none the less :-) from 30-0 to 30-40 take it Ana! Break!!

4-3* Need a hold now please Ana! I can't believe I am cheering for this spoilt brat!! It's amazing how cheaply I can be bought!!

In an ideal world I would like a hold then a break from Ivanovic so I can green out then Dulko fight back and win!

Here we go! Now Ana is blowing a 40-0 lead! 40-30 .. Holds!

4*-4 A break now would be nice. 0-15 and I'm out!

£184.66 on both is fine for me!

Now Dulko can win!!

And She Does!!! LOL

Dulko Wins 6-7 7-5 6-4
Profit: £184.66

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