Saturday, 21 February 2015

Manchester City v Newcastle United

Yaya is back!
Well this game has even more incentive for City after Chelsea dropping two points at home to Burnley.

Can't see beyond a home win here, especially with Yay Toure back. he may not be the player he was last season but some players just make those around them tick. He is one of those players.

Fancy a few goals here too.

Man City to Win @ 1.29 for £300 (Potential Profit: £83.08)

Over 4.5 Goals @ 4.60 for £25 (Potential Profit: £85.95)

Saturday's Action As It Happens

Well we're off in the 3pm fixtures...

3:07 Oh dear! Danny Welbeck has been brought down in the box! It's a penalty to Arsenal...

0-1 Santi Cazorla scores from the spot.

3:13 Well bugger me! It's that man Branislav Ivanovic with another goal. 1-0 to Chelsea.

Ivanovic scores again!

3:16 Not going well for my long shot punts! 1-0 to Hull. Nikica Jelavic scoring an important goal.

3.20 Scott Sinclair scores again! New manager working wonders?

3.29 I see Man Utd have gone 0-1 up at Swansea through Ander herrera. Looks like their run may continue.

3.30 Or maybe not!!! Swansea straight back in it with a goal from Ki Sung-yeung 1-1.

3.32 Well my QPR bet may dead and buried! Joey Barton has been given a straight red! 1-0 down away from home with 10 men for the best part of an hour... Hmmm.

3.40 Welcome back Charlie Austin! Grabs an equaliser for QPR. Maybe there is a chance.

Autin Allegro

3.45 With half time approaching Stoke have pulled level through Mame Diouf 1-1.

3.48 Looks like my Palace bet is dead and buried. Olivier Giroud makes it 0-2.

Half time in all the matches and my bets are mixed at the moment. Chelsea still only have the 1-0 lead against Burnley but should bring it home. As for the two outsiders well Palace are 0-2 down at home to Arsenal so that's probably £25 gone. I believe there are questions about if it should have been a penalty for the first and a suspicion of offside for the second. Have Palace been hard done by? Either way my bet is done!

Interesting match between Hull and QPR though. QPR levelling the game after going down to 10 men. Backing a draw in that at 3.2 looks appealing, but hopefully I can still get a win on this.

Elsewhere around Europe I see Barcelona are losing 0-1 at home to Malaga!! That is going to be a major coupon buster if they don't turn it around! They should be able to with a strike force of Neymar, Suarez and Messi. Probably end 4-1.

Bayern are back to scoring ways after hurting my bank balance in the week. Winning 0-4 against Paderborn.

The second half is under way...

4:05 Bayern 0-5 now! Whay couldn't they have scored some of these on Tuesday? Grrrr.

4.13 It's all quiet in the Premier League, but Bayern Munich are rubbing salt into my wounds! 0-6.

4.25 Has there been an alien invasion and everyone has been abducted? It's eerily quiet. I see PSG haven't had a single shot at home to Toulouse after 25 minutes in what is a must win for them.

4.27 Hahaha PSG 1-0 with their 1st shot of the match. Adrien Rabiot with the goal.

OMG Matic has been sent off for Chelsea! 20 minutes to hang on to this 1-0 lead? With penalty appeals being turned down and now this? It may not be their day! I'm going to protect my stake here. Laying at 1.14 but leaving £13.37 potential profit on Chelsea.

4.31 Is this the start of a late flurry of action? It's Jonjo Shelvey who has put Swansea into a 2-1 lead.
Daisy Evans - Jojo Shelvey's fiancee

4.40 Wow! Ben Mee has equalised for Burnley. Man City must be getting excited as they prepare for their evening clash with Newcastle.

4.48 QPR unable to hold out. Hull have taken the lead through Dame N'Doye 2-1.

4.51 It's full time in Spain... Barcelona 0-1 Malaga!!! Wow and ouch will have to have a look what price Malaga were before kick off!

4.52 Stoke have got a late winner! Ron Vlaar red carded for his challenge on Diouf and Victor Moses converts the penaly 1-2.

4.53 Glenn Murray with a late consolation for Palace. With two dubious goals for Arsenal, will Palace feel agrieved here?

4.55 All the games have finished

Back Chelsea to Win @ 1.21 for £200 - PROFIT £0.00

Back QPR to win @ 4.5 for £25 - LOSS: £25.00

Back Palace to win @ 5.1 for £25 - LOSS: £25.00

Saturday 21st February

Ashley Greene
Some nice fixtures in this afternoons Premier League. New managers and managers under pressure always adds a different dimension to things so that offers a slightly different edge on things.

Aston Villa v Stoke City

Tim Sherwood arrives at Villa Park for his first game properly in charge. It seems the Villa fans I've been chatting to almost think he's as good as he thinks he is himself! I'm sorry but I just have a nagging doubt about his abilities. I hope he does well and keeps Villa up though as they are a big club that really should be copmeting. There is no denying that the feel good factor of the appointment should have the home fans in full voice but Stoke are a canny bunch. I think this will probably be a score draw but could go either way. It's a no bet for me I'm afraid.

Chelsea v Burnley

What can I say about this one? Well Nick Griffin should probably attend to canvas support if all the media hype is to be believed! Apart from that I can only see aq home win here. Is 1.21 a fair price? I think it is actually a few points generous so I'm on it!

MY BET: Chelsea to win @ 1.21 for £200 (Potential Profit: £40.11)

Crystal Palace v Arsenal

There is something about this fixture that just makes we want to back Palace. I know Arsenal on paper are the better side and Selhurst Park offers no intimidation to them as they are unbeaten on the ground in 35 years! But sometimes you just get the feeling. Maybe Arsenal will have their minds drifting towards the Champions League tie in a few day? Who knows. I was tempted to just lay Arsenal at 1.83 but I'm going to have a dabble on Palace for the win.

MY BET: Crystal Palace to win @ 5.10 for £25 (Potential Profit: £97.89)

Hull City v Queens Park Rangers

Last time out QPR picked up their first away win (which I backed here Yay!) without Charlie Austin. He's back today so can they overcome Hull? I fancy them to get something from this game. Is it the new manager factor playing a part again? Maybe. Maybe I'm just a sucker for it? I think both teams have some decent players and have probably underachieved so far. Both will be desperate to add points to keep clear of the drop zone. I'm having a little dabble on QPR again in this.

MY BET: QPR to win @ 4.5 for £25 (Potential Profit: £83.56)

Sunderland v West Bromich Albion

Another match where the influence of the managers is possibly greater than the teams! But what a contrast we have. West Brom have Tony Pulis working his magic at another club whilst Gus Poyet is having all sorts of bother at the Stadium of Light. Oddly for Poyet, he may have preferred an away match today to get some respite from the home crowd. Unfortunately he's at home and I just think this is only going in one direction for him. I fancy a West Brom win here but don't like the odds so it's a no bet from me.

Swansea City v Manchester United

It's been said by pretty much everyone who isn't a Man Utd supporter for a couple of months now that United are going to come unstuck at some stage as they aren't a good side. But they just keep getting results, deservedly or not they are 3rd in the league and the form team at the moment. Swansea are not going to recover from the loss of Bony this season in my opinion but have doen enough to be safe. The question here is, are Utd good enough to keep winning? Personally I don't think they are but today might not be the day they get beaten. I fancy a draw but I'm not having a bet on this one.

Good luck and Happy Punting!

Late update from Thursday's bets.

Sorry for the delay. I watched the 2nd half of the Liverpool match in the pub and had a few afterwards. Also was busy and then out for a dinner party last night so it's hangover Saturday today!

Anyway I didn't do that well on Thursday as I talked myself out of backing my original selections of wins for Liverpool and Villareal and instead opted for the "safe" option of Over 1.5 Goals!!!

Well of course Liverpool and Villareal both won and Over 1.5 Goals lost! The betting Gods were against me I tells ye!

The earlier match saw a win though with Wolfsburg coming through with a 2-0 victory.

Back Wolfsburg to Win @ 1.66 for £200 - PROFIT: £126.06

Liverpool v Besiktas: Back Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 for £200 - LOSS: £200.00



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