Saturday 9 June 2012

Back to how it all started!

Ok so I'm £1,250 down over the last week or so and I know I should walk away but ...

I WANT MY MONEY BACK PLEASE!

LOL so let's get back to how this whole saga began back in the balmy days of summer 2009. The old 10k thread.

http://community.betfair.com/tennis/go/thread/view/94186/23758250/the-4-day-challenge-to-10k?liveView=0

So here we go again. Actually not bothered about getting to £10k although that would be nice, but I would like to get to £1,316.75 thus recouping my losses for the year. :-)


Straight on with this now then! If you fall off the horse you have to get right back on! Newells v Independiente in the Argentinian league. Going for Over 1.5 goals whilst 0-0 with 15 mins played. Odd are 1.65.

Goooooaaaaaallllll 0-1 on 35 mins. That's more like it!

Boooooom 1-1 right on the stroke of half time.

Over 1.5 Goals Wins
Profit: £41.61
Bank: £108.36

Okee dokee going back in on this one. Taking Over 2.5 goals at 1.39. Just one goal needed in the 2nd half. I think that's achievable here.

Goal!! 2-1 on 82 minutes











Over 2.5 Goals Wins
Profit: £40.53
Bank: £148.89

Germany v Portugal

Well we had the disaster in the last match so need a nice big win in this one to recoup some of that cash. Would have gone for Over 1.5 Goals again at 1.38 but fancy the goals. Glory or the poorhouse in this one going for Over 2.5 goals. Actually I'm laying Under 2.5 at 1.89.

Annika Beck - Germany Number 7

























10 mins gone still 0-0. Odds down to 1.77 already.

20 mins gone still 0-0 Odds at 1.52.

30 mins gone... Gues what? Yep still 0-0 :-( Odds 1.36

Without wishing to sound repetitive! 40 mins gone and still bloody 0-0 odds 1.23

ooooh Portugal hit the underside of the bar and it bounces on the line and out!

Half time and 0-0. Odds 1.18.




60 Minutes gone and yes it's still 0-0 Dommed and wiped out in two bets. The 1st should have landed and the second was just a rash moment of stupidity! Odds 1.05

1-0 Gomez in the 72 minute. Dance dance dance!!!

1-0 Final score! from £1,963.92 to £0.00 in two easy steps! I should write a get poor quick book! LOL


Holland v Denmark

Back to the footy at Euro 2012. Game 3 sees Holland take on Denmark. Denmark are not a bad team but in my opinion they have one real weak spot and that is in goal. I believe that they are going to start with Stephan Andersen of Evian in the French league. I don't know much about him but anyone kept out of a Charlton team a few years ago by Dean Kiely ain't gonna be great! I saw the match versus Brazil when he came on for Sorensen and he wasn't the best or overly confident.

This compunded with the fact that Van Persie, Robben and Sneijder are going to be pepperring him with shots makes me think there's goals in this. I'm going for Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38. Denmark will have their chances too as Holland are much better up front than they are at the back so here's to a goal fest.

Good luck what ever you're having a punt on!

Kiki Bertens - Holland Number 3
















10 minutes gone and whilst there have been no clear cut chances both teams have had the opportunities. Bodes well for goals. Odds on Over 1.5 are now out to 1.48.

20 mins gone and this is all Holland. They are far too relaxed for my liking though, happy to stroke it around at the back rather than bang in the goals! Odds now 1.60.

Booooooom! 0-1 Denmark take the lead!! 23 Mins gone. Michael Krohn-Dehli the scorer.
The goals have to come now as Holland will have to come out of there shels and attack, attack, attack! Odds now 1.12.

Oooooh Holland hit the post on 35 mins. Odds 1.19.

42 minutes gone and van Persie should have scored when played clean through. His 1st toch let him down though at it remains 0-1.

Half time then and still 0-1. Holland may want to up their tempo a bit though they should be in the lead. Odds 1.27.

How Holland aren't winning this let alone drawing I'll never know. They could have had 3 this half already! 60 mins gone and still 0-1. Odds are 1.38. I think if I was Dutch I would be throwing things at my telly by now!

70 mins gone and still  0-1. Hmm should I be getting nervous? Huntelaar coming on now so hopefully he'll bag a goal. Odds 1.71.

80 mins gone. Dance Dance Dance !!! Give me a freakin goal please! Odds are now 1.80 for Under 1.5 goals.

85 mins gone and still no 2nd goal. Woe is me :-( Odds 1.50 for unders now.

Bottled it and got out while I can big red on both now.

It finishes 0-1.




Over 1.5 Goals Loses
Loss: £1,293.97
Bank: £669.95

Castle Cover Home Insurance

Sara Errani v Maria Sharapova

Here it is folks the Final of the French Open. Maria Sharapova has the chance to complete her career slam by taking this title and I fancy her to do so. Whilst she has lost her last two slam finals including a crushing defeat to Azarenka at the Australian Open this year she will have too much for Errani.

















Errani is appearing in her 1st singles Grand Slam final. In fact her best previous slam performance was a quarter final appearance in Australia this year. Her previous best at Roland Garros was a 2nd round appearance last year where she was unceremoniously dumped out by Daniella Hantuchova.

























Sharapova has been strong throughout this tournament despite a wobble against Zakopalova where she lost her only set of the campaign. Errani has only dropped two sets herself but her matches have been a lot tighter. Add in the extra matches she has played in winning the doubles here with Roberta Vinci and it keeps adding weight to the arguement to back Sharapova. Not to mention the fact she's still hot! ;-)

So here we go then I'm going in from the off. Taking 1.30 on Maria as I think that is great value for the overall match. I've no doubt that she may trade higher especially if she has to serve 1st because she'll probably get broken. I'm taking it now though because there is every chance that Sharapova could run away with this one from the start.

Good luck to you all whatever your bet!


Sharapova to serve 1st then! .... Solid stuff, a hold to 15 now lket's see what Errani's nerves are like! 0*-1

15-30 ... 15-40 ... 30-40 ... Break! 0-2* Choo Choo let's hope the express has left the station and needs to make no unscheduled stops!

Hold to love! 0*-3 this is very pleasing :-)

15-30 again ... 15-40 ... 30-40 ... Deuce ... BP#3 ... Break! 0-4*

So far the total points scored are 6-17. Very one sided affair thus far. Hope Maria can keep it up.

Double fault for Maria gives Errani 0-15 ... 0-30 ... Another double fault! 0-40 ... 15-40 ... Break. 1*-4

OK Maria enough of the charity gifts, head back on please and break again.

Hmm Errani at 40-0 a bit of a momentum shift perhaps? 40-15 ... 40-30 ... woeful miss to give the game to Errani. 2-4* Maria needs a strong hold here or we may have meltdown!

Great shot 15-0 ... and another 30-0 ... this is more like it 40-0 ... Hold to love ... 2*-5. Break for the set? Not sure I'd want it as I'd like Errani to have to start the 2nd on serve the way it has been going.

15-0 ... 15-15 ... 15-30 ... 15-40 ... 2nd serve ... 30-40 ... Deuce ... GP ... Holds for 3-5*

Now then Maria do not stuff this up as I have my wish for Errani to serve 1st in the 2nd set should you hold.

15-0 ... 15-15 ... 30-15 ... 30-30 ... 40-30 ... Game and 1st Set Sharapova.

2nd set then with Errani serving 1st. Let's have a break to start please Maria. 0-15 ... 0-30 ... 0-40 Oi Oi Oi!!! ... 2nd serve ... Break!!! 0-1* Now an easy hold please sexy legs.

15-0 ... 15-15 ... 30-15 ... 40-15 ... 40-30 ... Deuce ... ACE!!! GP ... Holds 0*-2. ANother break to give us a cushion then please.

40-0 terrble game this for Maria but the consolation is that her skirt keeps flying up and you get to see her arse (or as our American friends say - ass). :-) ooh df takes it back to 40-30 ... Deuce ... A break here would be a double bonus along with Sharapova's ass!! ... GP ... Holds 1-2*.

40-15 ... 40-30 ... c'mon Maria ... Deuce FFS ... BP ... Jeez here we go the obligatory WTA circus begins! ... Deuce ... Great point Maria! GP#3 ... Holds. 1*-3 Now a break please as you've just demonstrated how much it's needed!


0-15 ... 0-30 ... 15-30 ... 30-30 ... 40-30 ... Deuce ... GP#2 ... Deuce ... BP ... Deuce ... GP#3 ... BP#2 ... Deuce ... BP#3 C'mon TAKE IT! ...Break!! 1-4* That should be enough for Maria.

15-0 ... 30-0 ... 30-15 ... 30-30 ... 30-40 ... Break FFS Maria! 2*-4

0-15 ... 0-30 ... 0-40 LOL ... 15-40 ... Break!!! 2-5*

SO then Maria destiny calling! Serving for the championship. Serving for the career Slam! No pressure ;-)

0-15 ... 15-15 ... 30-15 ... 30-30 ... 40-30 ... Championship Point! ... Oops Deuce! ... BP ... Deuce ... ACE brings up Championship Point #2 ... Deuce! Errani's drop shots keeping her in this ...  Championship Point #3 ... GAME, SET, MATCH, CHAMPIONSHIP MISS SHARAPOVA!!!
















Sharapova Wins 6-3 6-2
Profit: £438.78
Bank: £1,963.92

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