Monday, 23 October 2017

Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots

Here we are folks. The replay of probably the best Superbowl ever!!! Falcons looking for revenge on the road at Patriots.

I think that with the Pats having home field advantage they are rightly favourites at 1.71. Neither of these teams are playing at the levels of last year, so it could go either way. A bit of a blind punt picking an outright winner, but if I was forced to get off the fence... I'd have to go with my gut and back the Patriots.

One thing is for sure in my mind is that Pats can score points! Their defence is statistically the worst in the NFL this season I believe but that can be deceiving. I fancy both teams to score over 20 points so will have a look at some bets that match my thoughts.

Over 56.5 points is marginally odds on!!! currently at 1.98. Well I guess everyone thinks there will be lots of points. That does not seem like value to me as that is a lot of points to get my win.

New England Over 2.5 touchdowns at around 1.44 looks an interesting bet but there is no money in the market so I think I will struggle to get any on it, but will definitely have a dabble there for what I can get matched.

A scoreless 1st quarter would have had the Overs backers sweating! 2 minutes into the 2nd quarter and Pats get the first score Touchdown!! Extra point is good. Pats lead 7-0.

Falcons went for it on 4th and 7 from the Patriots 47 yard line with 2 minutes to go in the half as they trailed 10-0 and weren't successful. So over to Brady to work his 2 minute magic as the fog comes in. Boom Touchdown! And the extra point is good,17-0 lead into the half time. That leaves me needing Pats to get 1 more touchdown in the 2nd half.

After the Falcons miss their 2nd Field Goal of the night the PAtriots get to the Atlanta 2 yard line, but can't quite get over. Despite me obviously screaming at them to go for it they opt instead for the Field Goal and a 20-0 lead. I think I may need Falcons to get back in to this match to guarantee the third New England touchdown.

We're at the 2 minute warning in the 4th Quarter. Pats have 1st and 10 at the Falcons 17 yard line and a 23-7 lead. Going to run the clock down to end thegame :-( Go for the stats Pats!!! Boooo.

Glad it was a small market!

Loss: £10.86
Bank: 79.00 

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