Caroline Wozniacki v Jelena Jankovic

Well this is one I was waiting for but then got distracted so missed the start.
It was 15-15 in the first game of the match when I got on with Wozniacki serving.
I'm in so early because there is no way Woniackican beat Jankovic today after two gruelling matches and her injury problems. Only gone in £400 so leaves some to rescue or top up if it goes against me.

Back Jelena Jankovic 1.38 £164.95 £62.68
Ref: 9318004698 Bet matched:14:15 30-Oct-09
1.39 £2.16 £0.84
Ref: 9318004698 Bet matched:14:15 30-Oct-09
1.4 £100.00 £40.00
Ref: 9318004698 Bet matched:14:15 30-Oct-09
1.42 £132.89 £55.81
Ref: 9318004698 Bet matched:14:15 30-Oct-09

If Wozniacki does manage to win or indeed even get a set then I would be very surprised and maybe her "injury" antics yesterday were more in her head than physical. Jankovic just needs to bring her steady patient game to the court today and keep making her opponent move.

3*-2 First blood to Jankovic. She looks in total control at the moment. Just needs to stay focused.
4-2* And focused she doesn't stay going to 15-40 but saved them and another BP before finally holding.
5*-2 And another break. Let's hope Wozniacki sees out the set. Though I believe she needs to win a set to guarantee a place in the next round, depending on Azarenka's result later. Is Denmark nice in October? I'd rather stay in Doha for some sunshine on my holidays!!
6-2 Set to Jankovic!! Now you can retire and hit the beach if you like Caroline. :)

Ordinarily I would be looking to green out on this but I really feel it would just be throwing money away so will stick unless I see an opportunity open up in another match.

1*-0 Nice start from JJ with the break.
2-0* Bit of a wobble so I'm out at 1.04 Woz may get a set here if Jelena has a brain fart. Better safe than sorry and of course "GREEN IS GOOD"

Jankovic Wins 6-2 6-2
Profit: £132.03

Philipp Kohlschreiber v Nicolas Almagro

It was a finely balanced 1st set with Kohlschreiber taking it 7-5 with only one break in the match.

A 1.55ish Starting price makes me think there is good value in a 1.21 price at the start of the 2nd set. So having a nibble of that.

And a break straight away is very nice indeed to give Kohlschreiber a 1*-0 lead. He did face 3 break points in the first set and it's far from over but I'll confidently hold my position for now.

2-0* Odds still a couple of ticks too high for me. A bit of pressure on this service gane and I may get out at a decent price.
2*-1 A strong hold now should be enough for me to get out as a 3-1 lead always looks bigger than it really is!
3-1* Hold to love and market drops 1 tick!! :( OK I'll just ride it out then. Hope the market gets stung by another break now!
3*-2 Hmmm up 2 ticks! Does the market not realise that the higher the number of games played the closer we are to it finishing???
4-2 Kohlschreiber should see it out from here. Hopefully Almagro will be broken here though!
4*-3 Only two more holds and we're home :)
5-3* Holds after giving me a bit of a scare with deuce! Now break for GSM and get this over with!
5*-4 Gonna have to serve it out and send Almagro on the next flight back to Spain. He must be due to start his holidays.  I've layed a little off just in case!

Kohlschreiber Wins 7-5 6-4
Profit: £67.46

Post Reflection Punting

After my Reflections post yesterday I did carry on punting to a degree.
My stakes were vastly reduced so I was trying to get £200 matched on the first match.

Serena Williams v Elena Dementieva
Profit: £33.21
I wasn't able to get fully matched on this.

Svetlana Kuznetsova v Venus Williams
Profit: £53.50
A few trades with relatively small stakes made a nive return.

Shaun Murphy v Stephen Hendry
Profit: £44.59
This was a bit nuts.
No pics, no scoreboard, no idea, backed and then layed.
Even green all round! I love Snooker ;)

Palmeiras v Goias
Profit: £92.19
Usual Over 1.5 bet here. Topped up with a little more when still 0-0 just before half time.


All in all a very good day and brought my percentage increase for the week so far to over 10,000% :-)
However I will reduce my stakes a bit today as still recovering from some of the comments from yesterday, unless of course I see a sure fire thing ;)

Good luck today everyone and happy punting.