Sunday 2 January 2011

NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints














Final weekend of the regular season and I have chosen this one as Saints still have an outside chance of clinching home advantage for the play offs. I know it will take a miracle for Panthers to get anything at Falcons but you never know. Saints have picked up some nice momentum over recent weeks and rather than rest players I feel they would be better served trying to keep that going! Let's hope Sean Payton thinks the same!

Anyway I have taken a position from the off at 1.36. Go Saints!!!

Decent opening drive from the Buccaneers but only ends in a field goal. 3-0. (9:58 left in 1st Qtr)

Saints opening drive results in a Touchdown!! Some excellent offence combined with a couple of silly Buccs penalties made it fairly straight forward. 3-7 (4:41 left in 1st) Looks promising for overs backers.

TB can't even get a 1st down this time and have to punt Saints ball (2:22 left in 1st Qtr on own 43)
My target green out of 1.14 is getting nearer. 1.19 now. Should be below that though if Saints get a Touchdown.

FFS Saints had 3rd and 1 on Buccs 3 yard line. Looked a certain touchdown until a fumble and a turnover! Foolishly I didn't take my target green out at 1.14 when it was available either... let's hope that doesn't come back to bite me on the bum! Tampa have the ball. (12:21 left in 2nd Qtr on own 4).

Tampa getting the lucky breaks for now. Freeman just avoided a sacking and got it away on 3rd down for a 1st then followed a bizarre attempted block that flew for miles and resulted in a  38 yard completion! Then it seemed the damage had at least been limited to a FG but no!! Saints defensive offside nullifies the field goal and award them the 1st down, which they duly convert for a Touchdown! 10-7 (6:40 left in the 2nd Qtr)

Saints forced to punt, Tampa have it on own 26 (4:22 left in 2nd Qtr)

Freeman fumbles in the sack after getting as far forward as Saints 24 yd line! Saints have it on their 48 (1:49  left in 2nd with 1 TO left I think)

Brees trew an interception to put an end to that! Halftime and it remains 10-7. My biggest concern is that will Saints try in the second half? Falcons are winning easy so now there is nothing to play for and we may see some players rested. Saints do have the ball 1st though so if no score I think it will be time for the old switcherooney!

Update... I have switched at halftime! got 2.24 on Tampa. Just feel that Saints won't score on 1st drive and as such the odds on Tampa will plummet to 1.70's.

Hmm well Saints held to the Field Goal there. Need Tampa to get a scoring drive now. 10-10 (10:30 left in 3rd)

Great kick return by Spurlock to the Saints 33 yard line! Come On!!!! And another 1st down to NO 23. Grrrr only a Field Goal 13-10. Need the defence to perform now! (8:01 left in 3rd)

Go Defence!! Turnover on the Saints 38 !! Get the TD please Tampa!!!

And I'm out!! £51.76 TB £51.71 NO

That was a lucky escape!

Buccs score a Touchdown for a 20-10 lead but I'm more than happy to have got out with nearly my target winnings.

Saints pull a Field Goal back for 20-13 (11:17 left in the 4th)

Tampa get another Field Goal. 23-13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Win 23-13
Profit: £51.76


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