Thursday 24 September 2009

Tipsarevic v Ljubicic

Difficult one to call as the odds suggest. I fancy Tipsy to shade this in a tight 3 setter. Have lumped on far too early though and at a bad price.

Janko Tipsarevic 1.95 £138.74 £131.80
Ref: 9003820108 Bet matched:12:24 24-Sep-09


Took 1.95 on Tipsy when it was 0-30! Terrible terrible bet! :(

Ljubo holds to 30! 0*-1 :(

1-1 Hold to love from Tipsy makes me feel less nervous but really could do with a break now so I don't get punished for a rash punt!

2*-1 Break Finally got there 2nd time of asking :) Sticking with my bet for the time being to see if Tipsy has another easy service game.

3-1* Another hold to love even with 2 2nd serves in that one. Staying put at the moment. This may just be one of those days for Ljubo. Sad to see as he used to be great to watch up to a couple of years ago.

3*-2 Hold to 15. That has got my attention may look to offload this at the first sign of a wobble from Tipsy. Ljubo may have come to fight!

0-15 was enough for me to dump it!!

Lay Janko Tipsarevic 1.56 £39.15 £61.07 £21.92
Ref: 9003956212 Bet matched: 12:49 24-Sep-09
1.56 £50.00 £78.00 £28.00
Ref: 9003956212 Bet matched: 12:49 24-Sep-09


May have held out longer if I hadn't got such a stupid opening position but where my book was there was no other option

£33.20 on both

4-2* Hold to deuce but only after saving 3bp's. I'm happy with my decision to bail and happy with my return so far so early in what is looking like it will be a close match.

Tipsy takes the set 6-4 odds are 1.47 so happy enough with my position at the moment. If anything Ljub is on top now, love service games and winning points of Tipsy's serve. Let's see if he can hold 1st game though ;) Still expecting 3 sets.

0*-1 So typical of Ljubo of late totally dominant with he serve when it doesn't matter and fragile when it does. Just about manages the hold after facing 4bps!!

0-2* One of the most frustrating things in tennis betting!! Your guy wastes 4bp's then moments later gets broken himself! I'm feeling your pain Tipsy backers :(

0*-3 HEEEEELLLLLOOOO!!!! Ljub suddenly gone up a gear or Tipsy fading? Definitely glad I got out!! :)

Looks like that's all from me folks! Work calls, got a client popping round in ten minutes so better get ready! I will update when I'm done. Good luck all.

So I obviously missed a heck of a comeback from Tipsy!

Tipsarevic Wins 6-4 7-6(3)
Profit £33.20
Bank: £171.94

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