Wednesday 23 September 2009

Beck v Ascione

Interesting one this as Ascione has had a couple of good wins coming into this match. However Beck is my pick as he is the better player and had a comfortable victory himself against Lu. I have taken Beck at 1.56 from the off purely because I price this match up at aroung 1.35/1.40 and feel the price is so high as people read too much into Ascione's previous matches.

Looks like it's Ascione to serve first so we will see how it pans out.

Back Andreas Beck 1.56 £100.78 £56.44
Ref: 8994906194 Bet matched:13:08 23-Sep-09


1*-0 Couldn't have asked for a better start finally converts his 3rd Break point. Let's hope he can consolidate it now.

2-0* Hold to love! This is indeed an impressive start from Beck. 1.25 is still far too high for me to green out on though. Another break would bring the odds down to where they should be.

3-1* Another hold to love. Odds getting more tempting but still a shade high for my liking.

4*-1 Break to Beck. Very confident start indeed. Odds still a couple of ticks too high for me at 1.15 so I'll stick with the bet.

Greened out at 1.13

Lay Andreas Beck 1.13 £28.00 £31.64 £3.64
Ref: 8995079589 Bet matched: 13:32 23-Sep-09
1.13 £52.12 £58.90 £6.78
Ref: 8995079589 Bet matched: 13:32 23-Sep-09
1.13 £59.01 £66.68 £7.67
Ref: 8995079589 Bet matched: 13:32 23-Sep-09


The reasoning behind this is that I had Beck as a 1.35 shot. I have greened for £36.70 on both. Therefore I have won the amount I feel I should have won for sticking the entire match yet it is only in the 1st set. :)

Beck Wins
Profit: £36.70

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