Wednesday 23 September 2009

Fognini v Almagro

Ok next up we have the destroyer of my bank yesterday, Fognini! I think Almagro should be the victor here but again I feel the price is wrong. I would say that Almagro should be 1.4 at the lowest. The problem I have is that Fognini has been a slow starter of late and therefore laying the 1.28, while seeming like value to trade, is not the best move imo. If Fognini keeps it together from the off we may see 1.4/1.5 towards the end of the set at which time I will make my decision. Otherwise I'm afraid this may be a no bet scenario.

Well there you go. The slow starter breaks stright away! 1*-0 Fognini.

3*-0 Fognini!!!! :0 and a flip flop to boot!

Fognini takes the 1st set 6-4. I fully expect Almagro to take the second but I'm not brave enough to put my money where my mouth is just yet ;)

Fognini gets the 1st break in the second set to lead 2*-1. You have to start wondering if Almagro is actually that bothered, though he did stage a mini revival in the 1st. His response here will be telling for me.

2-2 Almagro breaks back. Now will we see him kick on?

4-4 Getting to the business end of the set now. I fancy a break for Fognini here!

4*-5 He had the break point but didn't convert now has to serve to stay in the set. Odds just below evens mean that regardles of the outcome of this set there will be people crowing on the Betfair forum saying "fanx for the x.xx mugs!!" You've got to love 'em :)

Tie break and I'm on

Back Fabio Fognini 1.66 £95.49 £63.02
Ref: 8998012210 Bet matched:17:15 23-Sep-09


And out again

Lay Fabio Fognini 1.27 £2.83 £3.59 £0.76
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £7.56 £9.60 £2.04
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £15.00 £19.05 £4.05
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £22.47 £28.54 £6.07
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £22.47 £28.54 £6.07
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £22.47 £28.54 £6.07
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09
1.27 £32.01 £40.65 £8.64
Ref: 8998029182 Bet matched: 17:17 23-Sep-09


£28.07 on both

Fognini Wins 6-4 7-6(3)
Win: £28.07 But GVL won't be happy with the £30 loss ;)
Bank: £123.57

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