We started off today with Djokovic v Soderling, which Djokovic has just won 6-4 1-6 6-3. It wasn't a game I had an opinion on so was not bothered that I had to miss it due to work commitments.
But now I am back home and looking at the remaining three matches makes me glad that I am attending a ball this evening. I have just under 4 hours with which to get ready or have a bet.
Next up is Tsonga v Nadal! Tsonga is the favourite @ 1.72 with Nadal @ 2.36. The odds are slightly out in my opinion but not by a lot. I would still have Tsonga shading it as favourite but more like in the high 1.80's. Tsonga needs to get to the final in order to reach London which will be his motivation here. However his performance against Simon troubled me somewhat. Simon was clearly injured from the start, and while some say that has an impact on Tsonga's play, he should have really dispatched him a lot quicker and easier than he did. Nadal may not be in great form at the moment and he does look thinner and wearier every day I see him, but he will put up a lot more resistance than Simon. He is also still in with a shout of year end Number 1.
I will plump for a Tsonga win here but I think it will be 2-1. Therefore if I do decide to get involved it will probably be to lay the first set winner and green up early. This may change in running of course depending on how things develop.
As for the last two matches of the day, I have to be honest and say I really don't have a clue on either. If pushed I would go for Monfils due to the partisan home support and the fact that Cilic hasn't impressed me. In the other match I would have to go for Del Potro. Yes he had the trainer on against Gonzalez, but one reason makes me fancy him.... The year end rankings. He has a really good chance of taking the number 4 spot from Murray, which may only be one place but has enormous repercussions when it comes to draws in tournaments. Number 4 year end will almost certainly mean seeded 4 for the Australian Open in January. What better way to spend your holiday sat on a beach knowing that you are almost guaranteed a semi final berth in the first Major of the new season.
Trying to profit from Betfair by making money as a sports trader Mostly tennis trading but also other sports.
Showing posts with label Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. Show all posts
Friday, 13 November 2009
Thursday, 12 November 2009
Jo Wilfried Tsonga v Gilles Simon
Had Simon not had a recurring knee injury then I would have given him a chance in this match. However he did have knee problems!
Tsonga is brainless at times but his coaching team will have told him what he needs to do to win this. Tsonga at 1.29 seems very generous all things considered but Simon may have the energy and strength in his knee to start strongly. Hopefully we can get to 4-4 in the 1st then may be the time to get on Tsonga at around 1.45.
Good Luck all and happy punting. :-)
Tsonga Wins 6-2 6-3
Labels:
ATP,
Gilles Simon,
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga,
Masters Series,
Paris Masters,
tennis
Wednesday, 7 October 2009
Mischa Zverev v Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
I'm not a great fan of Tsonga and originally looked to lay him here with a view to trade but even I think this should be relatively straight forward for him. As such I have decided to lump on from the off at 1.18.
Back Jo Wilfried Tsonga 1.18 £99.84 £17.97
Ref: 9117247734 Bet placed: 10:20 07-Oct-09
1*-0 Of course I should have remembered that nothing is ever straight forward with the brainless one as he offers up an opening service game of 15-40! He fights back to Deuce only to hand Zverev a 3rd bp this game which he takes!
1-1* Break to 15! That was a nice opportunity for the lay to backers early on. Now hopefully the Tsonga express is departing on it's non stop journey to 1.01 :)
1*-2 Hold to 40. When it was 0-30 I was beginning to wonder if in fact this was one of those crazy Japanese game shows and they were making them play on a court covered in mushy peas and playing with frying pans as racquets.
2-2* Hold to 15. Most convincing service game so far from a 0-15 start.
2*-3 15-40 to deuce but holds this time. Really not an impressive start from Tsonga but he is still scraping by. Probably a break coming now.
3-3* Hold to 30. Could do with at least one comfortable hold from Tsonga this set.
3*-4 Finally! A hold to 15 including his first ace. This really should be this easy.
4-4* Great response from Zverev holds to 15 from 0-15 down.
4*-5 Hold to love with 3 Aces!!! Hello, I think Tsonga has swapped his frying pan for a racquet! Now break for the set please :)
4-6* Break!!!! From 0-40 Zverev saves all 3 BP's!!!!! But showing he is a true modern professional he hands Tsonga another BP straight away which he takes!!
1st set to Tsonga. Made hard work of it but turned it on when it mattered at the business end of the set. Odds now 1.08. Gonna stick for now unless I decide to get involved in the Sharapova v Peng match which is also on now.
1-1* Tsonga had 15-40, Zverev saved them both! He even has GP but back to BP twice more but saved again before finally holding. Zverev 1/5 BP Tsonga 2/9 BP!!!!
Quickly out at 2*-3 to jump into Peng Sharapova hopefully I can get back in here in a minute!
Tsonga wins 6-4 6-3
Profit: £8.85
Back Jo Wilfried Tsonga 1.18 £99.84 £17.97
Ref: 9117247734 Bet placed: 10:20 07-Oct-09
1*-0 Of course I should have remembered that nothing is ever straight forward with the brainless one as he offers up an opening service game of 15-40! He fights back to Deuce only to hand Zverev a 3rd bp this game which he takes!
1-1* Break to 15! That was a nice opportunity for the lay to backers early on. Now hopefully the Tsonga express is departing on it's non stop journey to 1.01 :)
1*-2 Hold to 40. When it was 0-30 I was beginning to wonder if in fact this was one of those crazy Japanese game shows and they were making them play on a court covered in mushy peas and playing with frying pans as racquets.
2-2* Hold to 15. Most convincing service game so far from a 0-15 start.
2*-3 15-40 to deuce but holds this time. Really not an impressive start from Tsonga but he is still scraping by. Probably a break coming now.
3-3* Hold to 30. Could do with at least one comfortable hold from Tsonga this set.
3*-4 Finally! A hold to 15 including his first ace. This really should be this easy.
4-4* Great response from Zverev holds to 15 from 0-15 down.
4*-5 Hold to love with 3 Aces!!! Hello, I think Tsonga has swapped his frying pan for a racquet! Now break for the set please :)
4-6* Break!!!! From 0-40 Zverev saves all 3 BP's!!!!! But showing he is a true modern professional he hands Tsonga another BP straight away which he takes!!
1st set to Tsonga. Made hard work of it but turned it on when it mattered at the business end of the set. Odds now 1.08. Gonna stick for now unless I decide to get involved in the Sharapova v Peng match which is also on now.
1-1* Tsonga had 15-40, Zverev saved them both! He even has GP but back to BP twice more but saved again before finally holding. Zverev 1/5 BP Tsonga 2/9 BP!!!!
Jo Wilfried Tsonga | 1.08 | £16.66 | £17.99 £1.33 |
Ref: 9117520906 Bet matched: 11:19 07-Oct-09 | |||
| 1.08 | £92.42 | £99.81 £7.39 |
Ref: 9117520906 Bet matched: 11:19 07-Oct-09 |
Quickly out at 2*-3 to jump into Peng Sharapova hopefully I can get back in here in a minute!
Tsonga wins 6-4 6-3
Profit: £8.85
Labels:
ATP,
Japan Open,
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga,
Mischa Zverev,
tennis,
Tokyo
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